Weather Edge MCP Server

Calibrated weather probability signals for Kalshi prediction markets. Dual-model: NWS forecast + GFS 31-member ensemble. Real-time METAR from settlement stations.

Documentation

Weather Edge MCP Server

weather-edge-mcp MCP server

Weather Edge is an MCP server for calibrated Kalshi weather-market signals. It turns public forecast and market data into a compact tool surface for AI agents.

What it does

  • calibrates NWS daily high-temperature forecasts by city
  • reads current Kalshi weather market prices
  • estimates per-bucket probability, edge, and net expected value
  • exposes the results through MCP tools and an optional FastAPI surface

Install

pip install weather-edge-mcp

MCP usage

Claude Desktop

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "weather-edge": {
      "command": "python",
      "args": ["-m", "weather_edge_mcp"]
    }
  }
}

Other MCP clients

Use either of these commands:

weather-edge-mcp
python -m weather_edge_mcp

Transport options

weather-edge-mcp --transport stdio
weather-edge-mcp --transport sse --port 8050
weather-edge-mcp --transport streamable-http --port 8050

Tools

ToolDescription
get_weather_signals(city)Calibrated signals for one city's Kalshi weather markets
get_all_signals()Full scan across all supported cities
get_forecast(city)Bias-adjusted forecast context for one supported city
get_station_observation(city)Latest METAR observation from the settlement station
list_cities()Supported cities and calibration parameters

Supported cities: nyc, chicago, denver, miami, la

Optional web API

Weather Edge also ships an optional FastAPI app:

python -m uvicorn weather_edge_mcp.web_app:app --host 0.0.0.0 --port 8080

Routes:

  • /api/health
  • /api/signals?city=nyc
  • /api/all-signals
  • /dashboard
  • /subscribe

If the optional x402 stack is installed and configured, the paid routes can be gated there. MCP stdio mode stays clean and side-effect free.

Docker

The repo includes a Dockerfile for Glama/container builds.

docker build -t weather-edge-mcp .
docker run --rm weather-edge-mcp --help

Architecture

src/weather_edge_mcp/
  core.py        # forecasting, market fetches, calibration, formatting
  mcp_server.py  # MCP tools
  web_app.py     # optional FastAPI surface
  cli.py         # command-line entrypoint

Data sources

  • National Weather Service forecast API
  • Aviation Weather METAR API
  • Kalshi public market API

Development

python -m unittest discover -s tests -v
python -m build

License

MIT