financial-plan

作成者: anthropic

包括的な財務計画を構築または更新します。退職後の見通し、教育資金、遺産計画、キャッシュフロー分析をカバーします。新規顧客向けに使用…

npx skills add https://github.com/anthropics/financial-services --skill financial-plan

Financial Plan

Workflow

Step 1: Client Profile

Gather or confirm:

  • Demographics: Age, spouse age, dependents, life expectancy assumptions
  • Employment: Current income, expected raises, retirement age target
  • Accounts: All investment accounts with balances and asset allocation
  • Income sources: Salary, bonuses, rental income, Social Security estimates, pensions
  • Expenses: Current annual spending, expected changes (mortgage payoff, kids' independence)
  • Liabilities: Mortgage, student loans, other debt
  • Insurance: Life, disability, LTC, health
  • Estate: Wills, trusts, beneficiary designations, gifting strategy

Step 2: Cash Flow Analysis

Build annual cash flow projections:

YearAgeGross IncomeTaxesLiving ExpensesSavingsNet Cash Flow

Key inputs:

  • Inflation rate assumption (typically 2.5-3%)
  • Tax rate (marginal and effective)
  • Savings rate and where savings are directed (pre-tax, Roth, taxable)

Step 3: Retirement Projections

Accumulation Phase:

  • Current portfolio value
  • Annual contributions (401k, IRA, taxable)
  • Expected return by asset class
  • Monte Carlo simulation: probability of success at various spending levels

Distribution Phase:

  • Required annual spending in retirement (today's dollars → inflation-adjusted)
  • Social Security start age and benefit
  • Pension income (if any)
  • Portfolio withdrawal rate and sequence
  • Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs)

Key Output:

  • Projected portfolio value at retirement
  • Sustainable withdrawal rate
  • Probability of not running out of money (target >85%)
  • "What if" scenarios: retire early, market downturn, higher spending

Step 4: Goal-Specific Analysis

Education Funding

  • Children's ages and target college start
  • Current 529 balances
  • Target funding level (public vs. private, 4-year vs. graduate)
  • Required monthly savings to reach goal
  • Financial aid considerations

Estate Planning

  • Current estate value and projected growth
  • Estate tax exposure (federal and state)
  • Trust structures in place
  • Gifting strategy (annual exclusion, lifetime exemption usage)
  • Charitable giving plans
  • Beneficiary review

Risk Management

  • Life insurance needs analysis (income replacement, debt payoff, education funding)
  • Disability insurance adequacy
  • Long-term care planning
  • Umbrella liability coverage

Step 5: Scenario Modeling

Run key scenarios:

ScenarioProbability of SuccessPortfolio at 90Notes
Base case
Retire 2 years early
20% market drop in Year 1
Higher spending (+20%)
One spouse lives to 95
Long-term care event

Step 6: Recommendations

Prioritized action items:

  1. Savings rate changes
  2. Asset allocation adjustments
  3. Tax optimization (Roth conversions, tax-loss harvesting, asset location)
  4. Insurance gaps to fill
  5. Estate document updates
  6. Beneficiary designation review

Step 7: Output

  • Financial plan document (Word/PDF, 15-25 pages)
  • Cash flow projection spreadsheet (Excel)
  • Retirement projection charts
  • Goal funding analysis
  • Scenario comparison table
  • Action item checklist

Important Notes

  • Financial plans are living documents — review and update annually or after major life events
  • Be conservative with return assumptions — overestimating returns gives false confidence
  • Tax planning is as important as investment returns — model tax implications of every recommendation
  • Social Security timing is a major lever — model start ages of 62, 67, and 70
  • Always stress-test the plan — a plan that only works in the base case isn't a good plan
  • Compliance: ensure recommendations align with suitability/fiduciary standards

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